Early thoughts:
I just don't think Jones is ready for Shogun yet, especially with him having just gone through a rigorous training camp for Ryan Bader, and now he only has six weeks to train for the biggest fight of his life, for the toughest opponent of his life.
I see this going like GSP/Hughes I did... with Jones putting up a real decent fight, but with an ending that clearly shows that he's just not ready for a title shot yet, but will be in another couple of years.
Of course, I also thought that Hamill would have given Jones all he could handle, and I thought Bader would really test Jones, making the fight go to a decision.