FitFinlay4Life
What's the craic?
You guys can break it down a thousand directions, but I think the angles to take are straight forward here...
This was a massive break for Punk. Lesnar was his danger opponent here.
Without Lesnar, they're no worries. This is still the ECW bracket. The only thing that was gonna hurt Punk and overcome his Heyman relationship here was that Brock evened out that advantage. Now that Punk is back having Heyman squarely in his corner(even more figuratively than literally in this case), he has the upperhand huge to start off.
Coupled with overwhelming factor in Punk's favor number two- the fact that this taking place in Chicago, and I simply can't imagine Shawn being booked to win.
This is the first Chicago match. Whoever is booking this would have a riot on their hands teasing the crowd with only a single Punk match when there was the potential for more with a win here. The only way Punk fails to advance out of Chicago is by losing the final match there, and even that will be an extreme(no pun intended) stretch.
HBK is actually the perfect foil as well here to put Punk over big heading into the next round. A big time name. A legend. A guy who knows how to make others look good. He is guarunteed to put on a classic with Punk. And then he will bow out and give a crazy Chi-town crowd what they want. A Punk win.
This stage for Punk here, Heyman's brand, in Chicago, might as well be RVD/Cena at One Night Stand, and we know what role Punk would be playing. Even more apropos, for Punk this stage is his "Taker at Wrestlemania" stage. And we know what HBK's role is in that case.
You may like Shawn, his career, and accomplishments here, but the extraneous factors are too much to ignore fairly. Punk would be booked to win, and if you're honest with yourself you know I'm right.
So the CM Punk that you are picking is the heel CM Punk who doesn't win without outside interference and who would do his damnest to tick off the crowd then?

Punk never appeared in the original ECW, why would he get preferential treatment? Asides from that, what proof do you have of Heyman the booker screwing anybody over? This isn't Vince in Montreal. Now; if Punk has Heyman in his corner then he is a heel and do you really think that ChiTown hates HBK the same way they hate Cena?
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If Punk is the babyface (no Heyman) and HBK is the heel... surely Punk will win in his hometown? Bret and Davey Boy couldn't even win in their home COUNTRIES!!!
A heel CM Punk doesn't beat the big stars clean and there is no outside interference in this match. A face CM Punk in his hometown is the exact type of champion that Shawn is notorious for knocking off.
Finally, to return to an original argument of mine, a ring rusty Michaels beat the sledgehammer king in Trip's prime... a prime CM Punk couldn't even beat him when he was a PG COO!