I mentioned it before, but I think Andre is getting overlooked here. I originally said he didn't stand a chance, and then saw that he had a few MMA fights in the 70's. If he can do that, he can fight in an ECW ring.
Lashley got a great draw. Luger and him both have enough power to take out any big man, regardless of the rules. Lashley is my favorite in the bottom half. He should be Andre in Round 2, and shouldn't have a problem with Big Show in Round 3.
Dory Funk shouldn't be forgotten, but even an upset over Show doesn't put him over Lashley.
X-Pac. Wow. Shocky, start planning the e-funeral. He's going to get hurt, and hurt badly. I almost want him to win the first round match, just to see IC go on about Vader ripping his head off and beating him with it in Round 2.
Finlay is still my pick over Luger, and could put up a fight against Vader, but the top half is Vader's to lose. In a Lashley v. Vader final, Lashley could win. He's got some speed and agility, and obviously has the muscle to take on Vader. The gimmick match will be the ultimate decision maker. Whoever wins, has a chance at making it deep into the tournament.
Edge wins over Lashley, but not Vader.