Big Sexy's 2014 Fantasy Football Sleepers
1. Emmanuel Sanders- WR, Denver Broncos: Peyton Manning has made a career of turning average receivers into good receivers and good receivers into great receivers. With Eric Decker gone Sanders steps into a starting role for the best offense in the NFL. Demaryius Thomas is going to see a lot of double teams and Wes Welker has already suffered a preseason concussion. Expect an already talented Sanders to put up 2013 Decker like numbers.
2. Jordan Matthews- WR, Philadelphia Eagles: Even though he's a rookie, Matthews is in a great situation. The Eagles have a high powered offense and there isn't much competition at the receiver position. He is already penciled in as the slot guy and is one injury away from being in a starting role. Jeremy Maclin missed all of last season and has only played in all 16 games once during his 5 seasons. Riley Cooper has never been a full time starter and missed half of the 2012 season due to injury. Most likely Matthews will see some time as a starter.
3. Rashad Jennings- RB, New York Giants: Jennings showed some flashed during the second half of the season with the Raiders last year. He had some huge fantasy games with Run DMC injured. Now he is in New York where he will be the feature back and his only competition for carries is a rookie in Andre Williams. Jennings most underrated asset may be his pass catching ability. He started last year as the Raiders third string running back and played only sparingly for the first half of the season, yet he still caught 36 passes. He isn't a Reggie Bush or Darren Sproles type catching out of the backfield but he has good hands and can make some plays in that area.
I agree with you that Jordan Matthews is going to have a big year with Philadelphia, but I am going to agree to disagree on Sanders and Jennings. Jennings I'm still not sure about. I had seen potential in him for a few years now when he was with Jacksonville, but I just don't see him have the ability of a starting running back. To me it seems like he's just the best possible solution in a bad situations for the Giants offense, and I'm expecting them to relay more on their passing game with Eli Manning and the weapons he has, potentially with rookie Odel Beckham. For standard leagues he may be worth taking a shot on as a 3rd or 4th back, but I wouldn't even look at him in just starting Dynasty leagues because he's already 29, and his ceiling is OK back at best.
And as far as Sanders goes one of his biggest problems receiving wise has been his catching ability, and having Peyton Manning doesn't change that one bit. Luckily for him he did go to another team with a good Quarterback. Had he gone somewhere like Houston or Miami then Sanders wouldn't even be draftable. Still I personally don't see much out of him this season. His biggest role in the Denver offense will actually be pulling away defenders with his speed, and opening up Julius Thomas and Wes Welker more. But he's really the fourth option in that loaded offense behind D. Thomas, J. Thomas, and Welker. He'll be good for one or two weeks, but don't expect him to be consistent. He'll probably be good to play when you have multiple starters out on bye weeks.
As for my sleepers. I'm not sure what
Justin Hunter's ADP is especially after his big preseason game in Week 2, but he was one of my big sleepers for this year coming into the season and he still is. The man is ready for a breakout season, and I would suggest getting him onto your fantasy team. Another WR that you may get fairly late or in the middle of the draft is
Markus Wheaton on the Steelers. He is now the number two wideout in Pittsburgh alongside Antonio Brown, and I'm expecting a big season out of him. I actually thought he was going to make an impact his rookie season, but he ended up riding the bench in what seemed like more of a learning situation the first year. I think that will end up benefiting him big time in the long run.
Don't be afraid of drafting
Zac Ertz as your staring TE either. Again I don't know what his ADP is or if he is a sleeper or not, but he's another guy I'm expecting breakout numbers out of. Otherwise if he is drafted earlier than I'd expect he would, which is fairly possible because he looks great, then I would suggest
Eric Ebron. The pure fact that he's a rookie will make his ADP low, but he could be a starter right out of the gate in your offense. In that pass heavy offense with Matthew Stafford, Ebron will be a big target for him especially when Johnson is getting extra coverage. Last but not least I think one of the best sleepers I have is
Mark Ingram. He has been in an unfortunate situation in that Saints offense where he was never really given much of a chance to shine behind Pierre Thomas and Darren Sproles. But now that Sproles is gone, Ingram has actually jumped right to the front of the pack for running backs in the New Orleans offense, and I think he's going to have a monster season. He very well may end up being a top 7 fantasy running back in next year's draft. He'll still have Thomas there to take away downs, but expect better numbers than Sproles was putting up in that same system.
So those are my sleepers. Some tips for those just starting out or aren't exactly confident. I try to stress this so much. Take running backs. I know that all the ESPN analysts and NFL Network guys talk about taking a guy like Rodgers in the first round...but really, take a running back. Megatron is probably the only player I would feel 100% comfortable with taking in the first round, but even then I would take running backs for the next three picks. So first round take a running back, hopefully you get a top five back like McCoy, Charles, Peterson, Lacy, etc. Montee Ball, Leveon Bell, Matt Forte, none of those guys are reaches in the first round. Then in the second round, take another running back. I'm talking young backs. Zac Stacy, Gio Benard, Arian Foster, Alfred Morris, Doug Martin. Third round is where you may wan to take a WR, it depends on who's still available, but personally I would draft another running back. Especially if one of the guys I named above is still available, likely not by then. But even then...DeMarco Murray, CJ Spiller, Frank Gore. All solid third backs.
Then I would probably probably take two back to back wideouts, whoever is highest on your lists. Then go back to a back in the sixth round. Assuming this is a standard one year league. Carlos Hyde very well may end up taking over for Frank Gore in the second half of the season. I honestly hope he doesn't because I have him in one of my dynasty leagues, but it's worth taking a chance on late. He probably won't be drafted in your league so take him towards the latter rounds.
That's my advice. Take it if you want or do you own thing. But I would highly suggest taking running backs at least in the first two rounds. Then consider going after a WR, or take a third running back just to be safe especially in dynasty leagues. There are far less talented running backs available than there are wideouts. Fantasy "experts" say the passing era is evidence to take a guy like Aaron Rodgers or a WR in the early first, but it's only more evidence that the available running backs who put up big numbers are only more rare, so take the ones that are there. Then you can fill your team up with other wideouts, because trust me there are plenty of WRs that will put up big numbers. Maybe not as consistently as someone like Calvin Johnson or Julio Jones, but there are plenty. Andre Johnson right off the bat is a guy who I think will slide to the fourth round easy. Victor Cruz, Wes Welker, Michael Crabtree. TY Hilton, Torrey Smith....all guys you can get more so towards the middle of the draft, and will put up consistent numbers that with three good running backs will keep your team at the top. Any QB can put up pretty decent numbers. There will be plenty of them out there. Take a guy like Jay Cutler or Ben Roethlisberger if you have to, because those guys will linger around for awhile, but will still put up very solid numbers throughout the season. So take my advice as you will, but I highly suggest you get at least two backs before anything else.