I am an Orton mark, so I'm a bit biased. For a long time, I didn't think Orton's face turn could work. I have always cheered for him doing bad things, especially during his feud with the HHH/McMahon family. But I have always been more likely to cheer for heelish characters, so I didn't think much of it. The main reason I didn't think Orton could get over as heel was because the audience today seems to be much younger, and more innocent than it was 10-12 years ago, during the rise of the "tweener" type character. I didn't think people (kids and parents) could actually cheer for the terrible things Orton does. But they did.
And what we have gotten since he started getting more cheers than boo's, is a more toned-down Orton. He still does heelish things, but I doubt we'll be seeing him punt Stephanie McMahon any time soon. This younger, more family-oriented crowd, combined with older fans like myself, are starting to get into this guy. I think, like myself, they like the unpredictability of the character. They like the 'edge' he brings to the ring. They like the fire, the intensity, the anger. Maybe some of us are just twisted and nuts, but I like what he does. As a 25 year old man, I'm not into the whole Cena Super Hero gimmick, just doesn't work for me anymore. And obviously, I'm not alone in that.
I think Randy Orton's popularity is a direct result of the John Cena-type character. Some of the audience is looking for a more adult-oriented superstar, and we seem to have found that in Randy Orton. It reminds me a lot of fans turning on Bret Hart, and becoming big Steve Austin fans. Bret was more of the good-guy, superhero type. He did things the right way (most of the time), and Steve Austin brought something new to the table. For a long time now, Cena, without question the top guy in the company (and in the wrestling business), has given us this squeaky-clean face character, and Orton is the alternative.
Do I think he is anything like Steve Austin? No. The only similarity between he and Austin is how the crowd reacts to both men. Austin could do heelish things, and get away with it. Orton does the same thing. Austin could Stun anyone, and get away with it. Orton is the same way with the RKO. But there are many differences. Austin was an every-man kind of guy. A blue-collar guy, who busted his ass for everything he had. He, like Orton, had a nasty temperment. But Austin wasn't as mean as Orton (or at least as mean as Orton used to be). Orton can be downright evil. He is calculating and methodical, two things Steve Austin was not. Austin ran off of instinct, while Orton seems to always have a plan. IMO, there are nowhere near as many similarities between the two as many would like to believe.
Will we see the Age of Orton this year? I guess I'm not clear on what would or would not make the 'Orton Age.' Does this mean he has to surpass Cena as the biggest draw in wrestling? If so, then no. Cena is relatively young, and his fanbase is still pretty strong. Orton is the alternative to Cena, so I don't think Orton needs to outdraw him, outsell him in merchandise, anything like that. I see Cena being on top for another few years. But I have said before, and i still believe it, that Cena's fans, like Hogan's fans, will grow up. They will want something with more of an adult edge, and Orton provides that. So, in a few years, sure, I can see Orton becoming the biggest face in the company, but don't hold your breath for it to happen this year.
The good thing about a character like this...it doesn't get old. The reason it doesn't get old, IMO, is because a crowd from 13-50 years of age can get into this character, and stay there. Cena is great for kids. But those kids grow up, much like Hogan and Bret Hart's fans did. Sure, Cena has his older fanbase as well, many of those guys are right here in this forum. But eventually, kids like to be "cool." A lot of the time, the way to look cool is to grow up. Growing up, a lot of kids look to more controversial things ( in music, movies, etc., as well as wrestling). For my money, the edgier character is always the safer bet to be entertaining for a longer period of time.
So, do I think Orton can overtake Cena as WWE's top face? Maybe. But I don't think he needs to. He is the alternative. Both guys can do well at the same time. Do I think eventually Orton will overtake Cena? I do, actually. But not for quite some time. Cena has a long career ahead of him, and as long as he is drawing and selling merchandise, he's not turning heel. You will know Orton has become THE guy when Cena turns heel, and I don't see that happening for quite some time.