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It's based on a flawed premise. Hawking is making the assumption that a) a technologically advanced race would also be a warfare advanced race.
b) That any aliens capable of wiping us out who come into contactable range would be unable to see us if we didn't announce ourselves
c) That an entire civilisation could fit in a single ship, or that enough of them to completely overwhelm the human race could.
As for the maths of alien life, it's not new it's called the Drake equation, but it's not perfect. Current estimates for its solution are that there are two other civilisations in our galaxy, which means that they are 50,000 light years away, which is too far for them to ever make it here. So don't worry about it.
Game Rage is cool when his posts are less than 10 sentences per point. That is all.
Game Rage is a cool dude when he isn't spewing bullshit.
I'm surprised you agree with Mr.Hawking Game Rage. Seems like something you would disagree with, you know, seeing that is science and all.
a) a technologically advanced race would also be a warfare advanced race.
b) That any aliens capable of wiping us out who come into contactable range would be unable to see us if we didn't announce ourselves
c) That an entire civilisation could fit in a single ship, or that enough of them to completely overwhelm the human race could.
As for the maths of alien life, it's not new it's called the Drake equation, but it's not perfect. Current estimates for its solution are that there are two other civilisations in our galaxy, which means that they are 50,000 light years away, which is too far for them to ever make it here. So don't worry about it.
Thanks a lot guys, I genuinely appreciate that stuff. I realize some of the stuff I say or think may seem like bullshit, but most of my beliefs come from the right inner place with the right intentions.
I am strongly trying to take into consideration the lengthiness of my posts and cut them down for your reading pleasure as well.
And in closing, I agree with a lot of science, most of it, I'm just not ruling all other options out in an attempt at keeping an open mind.
(see, no word fort)
Because he's saying to stay away from them. That's why its laughable.
Edit: And Lee please knock it off. I don't mock your beliefs do I? Why should you be allowed to mock me meditating?
Because he's saying to stay away from them. That's why its laughable.
Edit: And Lee please knock it off. I don't mock your beliefs do I? Why should you be allowed to mock me meditating?
I'd strongly think about actually reading your response int he MMA vs. Boxing post if it was reasonable enough to read, and then I and many others would debate you.
All I know is that, all of my astrophysics lecturers have said that little of what he says is not really the genuine scientific belief. I'm not saying he's not aware of that, but he's a sounbite artist. Whatever way you look at it, the first three of my points are pretty straightforward concerns that nobody could "know" the answer to. It's just my opinion, and that's his.
It's based on a flawed premise. Hawking is making the assumption that a) a technologically advanced race would also be a warfare advanced race.
b) That any aliens capable of wiping us out who come into contactable range would be unable to see us if we didn't announce ourselves
c) That an entire civilisation could fit in a single ship, or that enough of them to completely overwhelm the human race could.
As for the maths of alien life, it's not new it's called the Drake equation, but it's not perfect. Current estimates for its solution are that there are two other civilisations in our galaxy, which means that they are 50,000 light years away, which is too far for them to ever make it here. So don't worry about it.
Well I wouldn't want to, but your word forts are the only thing that made that debate "even". No one wanted to debate you because they didn't want to waste 2 hours of their lives responding. And what I did read, your arguments were poor and you just repeated yourself over and over again.
Honestly, I'm betting you just stopped trying and just copied and pasted what you wrote over and over again and just changed little details. You knew no one would read it anyway, so I'm betting you were like "Fuck being reasonable and smart and all.".
Well, all we have to go on is us and were pretty warfare advanced. I mean, you could make arguments for Dolphins or whales, but even Monkeys wage war. Its something one has to take into consideration, but the only Intelligence race we know of is very violent and that means we have to look at it as being 99% likely they know of or can encompass warfare.
You don't THINK it could but how could we know? They could end up being the size of a Poodle, or maybe their as large as mountains. Its not too far fetched (when getting into this realm) to think they could create something so large to fill their entire species. Hell, it could even be a dying breed so their might not be any. As stupid as it may be to think an entire species could fit in an "Ark", its just as stupid not to consider the possiblity.
For all we know some other sentient being could have figured out FTL, so they could make it here. Yah just never know, but what is this Drake Equation you're talkin' about? I've never heard of it.
I'd strongly think about actually reading your response int he MMA vs. Boxing post if it was reasonable enough to read, and then I and many others would debate you.
I'm trying to grasp what you and/or your lecturers consider ''genuine scientific belief'' because rarely if ever does the scientific community reach full and complete agreement on damn near anything, especially in regards to such taboos as extraterrestrial life. Is it really out of the ordinary for one of the most well known authorities in their respective field held in high enough regards to be considered what you're calling a 'soundbite artist'? You have the most high profile politicians getting the most air time and coverage. The same could be said about the best performing atheletes. I don't see how this case is any different.
You said that Hawking's theory was based on a flawed premise. I was simply pointing out that the probability of someone that is held in the regards that he is (with credit he deserves and has earned in my opinion) being wrong seemed a little low. I'm not saying your points aren't valid ones, just that you made it seemed like because of them that his theory was faulty. When in reailty they were, more than likely, based around such questions.
Hell I've been thinking that for a long time about the need to subjugate alien worlds to our dominion for a while. Purge the Xenos from the universe for the perfection of humanity to be dominant. The Imperium of man will march on in its great crusade behind the legions of the Space Marines who shall do battle with the foul xenos and bring us glory for the Emperor of Mankind.
We shall carry our word,
We will correct and unify,
Hail the Emperor!
True, but monkeys, dolphins, people have come through the same evolutionary passage as we did. They may be co-operative. Furthermore, aliens might have evolved beyond war. To have gotten here, chances are they would have had to have been on a space ship for a long long time. If they were warmongering, they'd kill each other before they got here.
It's not just about size, it's about sustinance. Anyone who gets here would necissarily have had to be in space for 40 years as a bare minimum. Think about how big a ship would have to be to even sustain a race of cats that long? If they are the size of cats, chances are we cold overwhelm them too.
Some guy in the 50s invented it. You put in a load of factors, such as how many stars like the sun there are, how likely there is to be an earthlike planet, how likely life is to start, how likely that life will become intelligent, how long civilisations last etc. and it gives out the number of civilisations capable of contact right now there are likely to be in our galaxy. The answer is about 2.1, given current estimates, but obviously there's a large margin of error.
Whether the other civilisations know this or not is moot. No matter how advanced, no civilisation is capable of a) traveling faster than the speed of light and b) surviving for 50,000 years on a space ship.
I'm saying he isn't the world's go to guy about matters concerning space. Most of what he does is popular science. Popular scientists are the ones that people are interested in because they are the ones that make interesting TV programmes and books. Hawking is in this category. Case in point - Richard Dawkins studies a kind of comparative biology that has grown increasingly unpopular among actual biologists over the last 50 years, for a range of reasons. However, it is much easier to explain evolution to the masses in his terms than those of say statistical population genetics. Hawking may or may not believe what he's saying, bt which makes for more interesting TV "we'll never contact other aliens" or "the aliens will kill us all".
Flawed premise was probably the wrong thing to call it. It's built around assumptions. He obviously believes that those assumptions are valid, bt there's no way he could know the answer to any of them, which is why this is nothing but an opinion. I'm sure I could go and ask my old astro professors about this and get 20 different answers about alien life.
True, but monkeys, dolphins, people have come through the same evolutionary passage as we did. They may be co-operative. Furthermore, aliens might have evolved beyond war. To have gotten here, chances are they would have had to have been on a space ship for a long long time. If they were warmongering, they'd kill each other before they got here.
It's not just about size, it's about sustinance. Anyone who gets here would necissarily have had to be in space for 40 years as a bare minimum. Think about how big a ship would have to be to even sustain a race of cats that long? If they are the size of cats, chances are we cold overwhelm them too.
Whether the other civilisations know this or not is moot. No matter how advanced, no civilisation is capable of a) traveling faster than the speed of light and b) surviving for 50,000 years on a space ship.