I put 80 on Umaga because he /needs/ to win this match. Umaga losing cleanly to a guy that has competed on tv as rarely as Marella would kill the whole "Samoan Bulldozer" thing. And considering his role on Raw tonight, I think they're probably trying to build him up after being stuck in the angle with Lashley in the McMahons that pretty much just made him look dumb.
Exactly what AJ said. This match will end a DQ. Umaga won't be winning the Intercontinental title here, and Santino won't be pinning him here either. Best way to save both of them: DQ finish. 50 on Santino by DQ.
50 on Santino, no point in having Umaga with the IC belt. I see either outside interference by Foley, or Umage getting himself DQ'd. Santino walks away unfortunately.
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