First of all, people claiming that they knew all along that Miz was going to cash in need to stop acting so omniscient. Just because Orton says "Barrett will not be leaving as champion" or Cole says "We could have a new champion here tonight" doesn't mean that someone else other than Barrett is. How many times has an announcer hyped a potential title change or a current champion stated that his challenger will not be the one leaving with the belt? If that's part of your logic, go watch more wrestling. That means jack shit in terms of "making it obvious" that Miz was going to cash in. It was also not the first time that the WWE title has been defended on Raw within the past year, for those throwing out the excuse that the title is never defended on Raw. Sheamus defended against Cena after Fatal Four way and it ended in a no-contest when Nexus interfered (then subsequently attacked Vince).
Riley's substitution wasn't a dead give-away either. Miz has substituted Riley several times already, sometimes even voicing that he wants to be fresh if he feels he has the opportunity to cash in that night. The same thing happened last week, for God's sake, and he didn't even tease a cash-in. The entire episode was about everything but The Miz until that point, and the only time when it seemed completely obvious was when Orton successfully pinned Barrett at 10:58.
Even then, Orton was standing and not at his absolute "weakest" and the possibility of the cash-in being another tease still existed. Further, given that Orton's match was only about four minutes long, despite the beatdown and "injury", he was still somewhat fresh and got in plenty of offense. The pre-match Nexus beatdown could just as easily have meant that Barrett was going to score a cheap victory over a weakened Orton, and while I did consider that if Orton won, the cash-in was a possibility, I still marked out when it actually happened. There were moment's when Miz's "inevitable" victory were in doubt, and many people on here had predicted that he was going to be the first to fail. If that had happened, the same people who say that they knew without a doubt that he was going to cash in and be victorious would be on here saying "I told you so" and excitedly making "are Morrisson and Melina going to have a romantic angle" threads.
Back on topic, MITB is a fun stipulation for me, and given that the opportunity exists for a full year means that it could happen at any time, but the element of unpredictability is still there. We have seen teased attempts more times than we have seen the actual cash-in. Miz had two against Sheamus alone. People forget that Swagger attempted to cash in on Cena the night after 'Mania and aborted before the bell rang. We have seen Edge wait almost the full year and we have seen Swagger do it in less than a week. The point is that you don't know when it's going to happen, and even if there have been moments when it's seemed likely, it hasn't necessarily happened. Think back to Summer Slam when Orton RKOed Sheamus on the announcer's table and the crowd was excitedly chanting "We want Miz". Remember how many people were absolutely certain that Miz was bound to do it after the six pack challenge at NOC? It didn't happen in either case, no matter how logical it might have seemed. We all spent the past six months ordering PPVs and wondering if that would be the night when Miz cashed in.
To me, MITB provides a number of advantages: it can get mid-carders into the main event, allows them to "audition" for a right to compete there regularly, put people over with the crowd, create new storylines, feuds, character angles, and even produce heel and face turns depending on the circumstances of the cash-in and against whom it occurs. Punk cashed in on Edge to a great reaction, and when he cashed in on Hardy, it turned him heel and got him over as one of the most talented heel characters in the company. For RVD, it helped build up to the One Night Stand PPV and garnered a lot of attention and hype for the PPV and ECW's legacy. Yes, it can be "cheap" and I don't always agree with the circumstances. To use Swagger as an example again, he pinned an injured and incapacitated Jericho when he was wearing a suit during a promo segment. "Any time, any place" works great, but there are times when it can just look lame, and I thought that that was one of them.
That said, if a heel can do it whenever he wants to, why not do it opportunistically? RVD wanting to take the title at an ECW event had significance, which was why it was done the way that it was. For those claiming that Monday's result was "just another cheap cash-in", it was the second most legit cash-in that we have seen. There was no hype or build-up to a full match with both competitors being fresh, but they still went at it for a few minutes in an actual match, with Orton having about half of the offense and the ultimate result being that Miz had to counter an RKO to get the win. Sure, Orton was weakened, but he hadn't been hit in the face with the briefcase, there was no interference from Riley, and in the context of the match itself, it was a clean victory. I will take that any day over the five second "match" consisting of finisher and pin.
Overall, I am happy with the way that things played out on Monday, regardless of the fact that I am a Mizfit. It sets up a feud for Orton, and gives us further unpredictability in terms of what's going to happen in subsequent Raw episodes and at TLC; further, it gets a fresh face into the main event at a time when Cena, HHH and Jericho are out, Barrett isn't actually ready and has had three opportunities, and Sheamus just held the title and is occupied elsewhere. Did we really want to see Barrett vs. Orton IV?
One of my biggest gripes with MITB is the new champion's booking and his ability to get over as a credible champion based on that. While he has not received the greatest booking of anyone in the WWE in recent months (losses to Bryan, Bragging Rights captain loss), Miz has been consistently built up for the past year, winning the US title twice, cleanly pinning HBK in two matches to win and retain the tag titles and winning the briefcase, as well. They are extremely high on him and I highly doubt that they are going to turn him into a joke champion. I think that they learned their lesson with Swagger and the missed opportunity they had with him, in addition to how they view Miz and the upside of his future. I think that Miz will hold the title for a few months, and if not, I will be greatly disappointed.