Turd Ferguson
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MAIN CARD
- Welterweight Championship: Georges St. Pierre vs. Jake Shields
- Featherweight Championship: Jose Aldo vs. Mark Hominick
- Light Heavyweight bout: Randy Couture vs. Lyoto Machida
- Lightweight bout: Benson Henderson vs. Mark Bocek
- Light Heavyweight bout: Jason Brilz vs. Vladimir Matyushenko
Preliminary Card (Spike TV)
- Welterweight bout: Nate Diaz vs. Rory MacDonald
- Welterweight bout: Brian Foster vs. Sean Pierson
Preliminary Card (Facebook/Untelevised)
- Featherweight bout: Yves Jabouin vs. Pablo Garza
- Welterweight bout: Claude Patrick vs. Daniel Roberts
- Lightweight bout: John Makdessi vs. Kyle Watson
- Middleweight bout: Jason MacDonald vs. Ryan Jensen
- Bantamweight bout: Ivan Menjivar vs. Charlie Valencia
Our main event pits Georges St. Pierre against Jake Shields in a matchup between two top ten pound for pound fighters. To be 100% honest, I don't see how GSP loses this fight. Shields may be world class on the ground, but so was BJ Penn and we all saw what happened when GSP and Penn squared off. GSP's wrestling and top control is out of this world. Sure, Jake Shields has some extremely good wrestling himself, but do you honestly see Shields taking GSP down? Furthermore, to go with his elite wrestling, GSP has some elite striking as well. Jake Shields has average, at best, standup skills. I can see GSP keeping this fight standing, outpointing Shields by using his speed, power, and reach advantage, never getting too close for Shields to secure a takedown.
Is Jake Shields one of the best in the world? Absolutely. However, Georges St. Pierre is THE best in the world. The only weakness in his game that people keep bringing up is his chin. The last time he was KOed was four years ago, and he took Serra way too lightly in that fight. Do you honestly see Shields knocking GSP out? GSP will likely take this via decision, and go on to fight Anderson Silva by the end of the year.
Our co-main event pits Jose Aldo defending his Featherweight Championship against Mark Hominick, who will have the Canadian crowd on his side. What makes this card so awesome is that two of the top three pound for pound fighters will be fighting on this card. Despite Hominick being VERY impressive lately, this is a fight to give Aldo the most exposure he possibly could have. There is no chance in hell Hominick is going to win this. Aldo has elite level striking and grappling. Hominick has no grappling skills to speak of, and his striking is nowhere close to the level of Jose Aldo's. Furthermore, Shawn Tompkins is his trainer and he may be the anti-Greg Jackson in terms of gameplanning. There's a reason why Vitor Belfort left his camp with two weeks to go before his title fight with Anderson Silva. He's awful, and I'm expecting an absolutely brutal KO in the first round by Aldo. Sure, Hominick looked great against George Roop. It's fucking George Roop. I think any of us could knock out George Roop.
In a fight that could main event a PPV, Randy Couture vs. Lyoto Machida gets third billing. Dana White's stated that with a loss, Machida could possibly be cut. While I don't think he'll be cut, it's worth mentioning that any UFC fighter at any given time could be sent down to Strikeforce.
We're going to see what happens with that situation. I believe Randy Couture will pull this win off and find himself next in line for a title shot with a win. The problem with the way Machida fought against Rampage is that he was too cautious. He was probably being cautious to avoid the huge strike that would knock him out by Rampage, but I can see him, again, being over-cautious with his job being potentially on the line.
Machida is a lethal counter-puncher. He tries to force his opponents to engage with him. The problem here is that Couture is way too smart for that, and will not fight the fight Machida wants to have. Machida's downfall here is going to be his footwork. Machida's stance leaves him wide open for a single leg takedown, and I expect Couture to capitalize on that. Couture will be smart, patient, pick his spots, and take a decision win over Machida.
Benson Henderson vs. Mark Bocek should be a very interesting and fun battle on the ground. Bocek has been cruising lately and has been the only fighter in awhile to really challenge Jim Miller. Henderson has the standup advantage and may want to keep the fight standing, but when the fight goes to the ground, it's really a tossup. I think this is easily the toughest fight to call on the card. If I had to call it right now, I'd say Henderson by an extremely close decision.