Turd Ferguson
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[YOUTUBE]4FRGP8hdoWc[/YOUTUBE]
This trailer RULES... might even be better than GSP/Koscheck.
This trailer RULES... might even be better than GSP/Koscheck.
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MAIN CARD
- Light Heavyweight Championship: Mauricio Rua vs. Jon Jones
- Bantamweight bout: Urijah Faber vs. Eddie Wineland
- Lightweight bout: Jim Miller vs. Kamal Shalorus
- Middleweight bout: Nate Marquardt vs. Yoshihiro Akiyama
- Heavyweight bout: Mirko Cro Cop vs. Brendan Schaub
Preliminary Card (Spike TV)
- Lightweight bout: Edson Barboza vs. Anthony Njokuani
- Light Heavyweight bout: Luiz Cane vs. Elliot Marshall
Preliminary Card (Facebook/Untelevised)
- Featherweight bout: Eric Koch vs. Rafael Assuncao
- Welterweight bout: Ricardo Almeida vs. Mike Pyle
- Lightweight bout: Kurt Pellegrino vs. Gleison Tibau
- Middleweight bout: Dan Miller vs. Nick Catone
- Bantamweight bout: Joseph Benevidez vs. Ian Loveland
With a Light Heavyweight Title fight that is beyond huge, UFC 128 kicks off a stretch of cards where every upcoming event from this card to UFC 131 (at the very least) is must-see. This card is absolutely stacked from top to bottom.
The main event is a Light Heavyweight Championship fight between Shogun Rua and Jon Jones. To be 100% honest, I still have absolutely no idea who is going to win this fight. Shogun has the issue where he's coming off of a long layoff due to knee surgery. The last time Shogun was out for an extended period of time, he beat Mark Coleman, but he looked lethargic throughout the fight, and it made people question whether or not he was past his prime... which is a ludicrous statement to make about a guy who was still only in his mid-20s, but those questions were there. Jones has the issue where he only has six weeks to prepare for the biggest fight of his young career. Furthermore, it's only six weeks where he has to train for an elite fighter like Shogun. To build on top of that, there is a major issue with experience. Shogun has fought some of the best in the world at a young age and passed with flying colors, dismantling guys like Rampage Jackson. This is Jon Jones' first real big name opponent. The outside factors surrounding this fight alone are extremely intriguing.
Stylistically, I would think that despite the great and creative striking of Jon Jones, Shogun has the absolute advantage in the standup. Jones is going to need to take this fight to the ground as soon as possible and hope that his wrestling is great enough to control Shogun. It's accepted that Jones is going to take Shogun down... however, Shogun is usually quick to get back on his feet, and he can threaten from his back. What's interesting though is that the guys who Shogun had no problem getting back up from, such as Machida and Liddell, don't have the aggressiveness on the ground like Jones does. Shogun is going to be tested big time on the ground, and Jones is going to certainly have his submission defense tested.
What I think is important to note too is that Jon Jones has not faced adversity once yet. He hasn't been rocked. He hasn't been in a vulnerable situation where he's been threatened to be submitted.
I can see this fight going two ways.
1.) Jones puts in a valiant effort, threatening Shogun quite a few times, but eventually being too overaggressive on the ground, getting caught with a submission. Despite losing, it becomes clear that with more seasoning against top competition, Jones is absolutely a future champion.
2.) Jones being fresh is a major advantage, and Shogun has ring rust. Jones cruises to victory, grounding and pounding Shogun out around the third round or so.
It's a very interesting and exciting matchup. I cannot wait to see how it unfolds.
The co-main event is a Bantamweight fight between Urijah Faber and Eddie Wineland. I know absolutely nothing about Wineland. This is a fight for the UFC to basically introduce Faber to casual fans, and they're going to want him to lead the charge for the smaller weightclasses. This is a very important fight for both Faber and the UFC. If Faber loses, this WEC expansion may not turn out the way they would like it to. And after Siver/Sotiropoulos, it bears mentioning more than ever that nothing is guaranteed in MMA.
I don't get why the UFC keeps shitting on Jim Miller. Miller's one of the top lightweights in the company and has won 8 of his last 9. He's only lost to two people in his career, Frankie Edgar and Gray Maynard. He's looked great in just about every win. He should really be getting a top ranked opponent, like Sherk or Guillard after this fight. I don't know what else Miller has to do to prove he's legit. Kamal Shalorus is a decent fighter, but he had problems with Jamie Varner, which shows you exactly where his skillset is. I predict another submission victory for Miller in this one after Kamal gasses out around the second round.
Marquardt vs. Akiyama is a fight where both guys are fighting for relevancy at 185, and possibly even their jobs. Dana's still angry at Marquardt for not bringing it vs. Okami. Akiyama's lost against Leben and Bisping, but he's turned in Fight of the Night performances every time out, and he also has the factor of the UFC really wanting to break into Japan this year where if he loses, he might still have some job security. I don't think Akiyama's gas tank will hold up, he's gassed in every fight he's had in the UFC so far. Marquardt is one of the most well-rounded fighters in the division, but he has a tendency to fuck things up. Being that this isn't a #1 Contender fight, I think Marquardt takes a decision. I think that Akiyama will also be forced to go down to 170 for one last shot.
Cro Cop vs. Schaub could be Cro Cop's swan song in the UFC. Schaub is tearing it up lately, and Cro Cop looks done. He has no chin left. I'm predicting Schaub by brutal first round knockout and an emotional retirement speech by Cro Cop afterwards.
I am psyched for another Edson Barboza fight. His UFC debut was one of my most favorite fights of last year. Njokuani is a one hit wonder for a brutal head kick KO of a twelve year old. Njokuani has long legs that are going to be leg kicked to death by Barboza in what will be another impressive win.
There's a reason why the UFC cut Elliot Marshall despite a 3-1 record and a loss to Vladimir Matyushenko. He's BORING. And now that he's back, he's going to decision Luiz Cane in what will be a completely boring affair in what should be a fight on par of the Spike TV prelim between Nik Lentz and Andre Winner. I don't get why a crowd killer like Cane and Marshall will be on the Spike prelims when Pellegrino/Tibau, Miller/Catone, and Almeida/Pyle will be untelevised.
The three aforementioned fights would be really good fights on any main card, and I'm surprised they're being tucked away on the prelims, especially where Pyle is coming off of an impressive win over John Hathaway.
Pellegrino vs Tibau is a loser goes home fight, and Pellegrino should have the advantage on the ground to take it.
Dan Miller will probably choke Catone out, getting another win and rebuilding his record.
Almeida vs. Pyle is a real interesting fight, where I would assume Almeida would take it due to his superior ground game.