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The Sports Bar

You know, my initial reaction to the Fielder signing was that they had the division locked down, but the more I think about it, I wonder if that's the case. Losing Victor Martinez still hurts big time, and if Fielder continues his historical pattern of relatively underperforming following a big year, the Tigers might essentially have swapped Martinez for Fielder. And the interesting thing is that the pre-Fielder CAIRO projections had the Tigers like 3 games ahead of the Indians. I haven't seen redone figures yet but the estimates I hear are that the Fielder deal is projecting them something like five or six games in first. There's a (sometimes large) margin of error in these prediction of course, but still. When you look at everything going on with the Tigers and the Indians as a big picture thing, I don't think the Tigers really have as dominant a hold on the AL Central as seems apparent.
 
The Bears and the Cubs were a disappointment this year but at least The Bulls are giving Chicgoians something to cheer about. I just wished the starting rotation could stay healthy for at least a quarter of a season.
 
You know, my initial reaction to the Fielder signing was that they had the division locked down, but the more I think about it, I wonder if that's the case. Losing Victor Martinez still hurts big time, and if Fielder continues his historical pattern of relatively underperforming following a big year, the Tigers might essentially have swapped Martinez for Fielder. And the interesting thing is that the pre-Fielder CAIRO projections had the Tigers like 3 games ahead of the Indians. I haven't seen redone figures yet but the estimates I hear are that the Fielder deal is projecting them something like five or six games in first. There's a (sometimes large) margin of error in these prediction of course, but still. When you look at everything going on with the Tigers and the Indians as a big picture thing, I don't think the Tigers really have as dominant a hold on the AL Central as seems apparent.

While the Tigers certainly have their own questions to fill, the difference between Martinez and Fielder is the power threat they have. While Martinez is a good professional hitter, the highest amount of homers he's hit in a year is 25, while Prince's lowest amount was 28 (in his rookie year). Prince slugs at almost .100 points higher. Prince also gets on base at a higher clip.

Again, Martinez is a fine hitter, but saying Fielder replacing Martinez doesn't make them a better team is undermining Fielders slugging abilities. Because, not only should he be able to still put up decent power numbers, but Cabrera won't be able to be pitched around as much because you don't wanna put a guy on base for someone like Prince. Cabrera still got IBB'd 22 times last year (and probably intentionally pitched around a handful of other times as well), I'd be very, very surprised if he got that many chances, especially with Prince on deck.

If you're really gonna look for a fault of the Tigers, its the belief that guys like Jhonny Peralta, Alex Avila, Verlander, and Valverde all come back to earth following career seasons for each (and I'd expect slight regression for all 4, but Avila and Verlander to still be upper echelon in their positions). Prince might have a "down" year due to changing leagues and adjusting to pitchers, etc., but unless he puts up 2011 Adam Dunn type performance (which I severely doubt) he'll still be an effective piece that will give Cabrera great protection (and Boesch as well for that matter, since people won't wanna let him get on and then face Cabrera/Fielder).
 
While the Tigers certainly have their own questions to fill, the difference between Martinez and Fielder is the power threat they have. While Martinez is a good professional hitter, the highest amount of homers he's hit in a year is 25, while Prince's lowest amount was 28 (in his rookie year). Prince slugs at almost .100 points higher. Prince also gets on base at a higher clip.

Again, Martinez is a fine hitter, but saying Fielder replacing Martinez doesn't make them a better team is undermining Fielders slugging abilities. Because, not only should he be able to still put up decent power numbers, but Cabrera won't be able to be pitched around as much because you don't wanna put a guy on base for someone like Prince. Cabrera still got IBB'd 22 times last year (and probably intentionally pitched around a handful of other times as well), I'd be very, very surprised if he got that many chances, especially with Prince on deck.

If you're really gonna look for a fault of the Tigers, its the belief that guys like Jhonny Peralta, Alex Avila, Verlander, and Valverde all come back to earth following career seasons for each (and I'd expect slight regression for all 4, but Avila and Verlander to still be upper echelon in their positions). Prince might have a "down" year due to changing leagues and adjusting to pitchers, etc., but unless he puts up 2011 Adam Dunn type performance (which I severely doubt) he'll still be an effective piece that will give Cabrera great protection (and Boesch as well for that matter, since people won't wanna let him get on and then face Cabrera/Fielder).

If Fielder hits like he did in 2011, yes, he's a much better power hitter than Martinez (OPS+ about 30 points higher). But note the trend in Fielder's stats - he waxes and wanes. If he hits like he did in 2010 - which is not a tragic performance - he would hit an OPS+ of 135, which is only a scant 3 points higher than Martinez in 2011. So my point is that if Fielder follows his historical pattern, he'll hit almost identically to Martinez in 2011, which won't change the Tigers significantly. But he might not, which would be a huge difference.
 
While that's true he's somewhat fluctuated on his performance, the fact remains that most teams will be more afraid to pitch to Fielder then Martinez, which is beneficial to the Tigers because that means Miggy should get more opportunities. Ryan Braun had exactly 4 IBB's in the past 3 seasons. Cabby had has had 50+ in the past 2 seasons, with the last one having Martinez. Even if he performs to 2010 standards, it should improve the Tigers offense because teams won't wanna pitch to him with Cabrera on base - thus giving Cabrera more opportunities to hit.

And besides, should he replicate Martinez's performance I'll take it - because it's not like the division was much of a race last year anyways ;) damnit i feel like habs now
 
Yeah it'll likely buttfuck them over in the back end of those years, but if he helps bring a title it'll be worth it.
 
And besides, should he replicate Martinez's performance I'll take it - because it's not like the division was much of a race last year anyways ;) damnit i feel like habs now

Well, my other point in that line was that the CAIRO projections pre-Martinez and Fielder had the Tigers winning only by about 4 games. The margin of error there is wide enough that it's not a solid projection, but what it suggests qualitatively is that the Indians and Tigers would be essentially in a tight race till the end and that it could go either way, with the Tigers more likely to win, but not overwhelmingly favored to do so. There's a lot of factors that can throw that off but what I'm saying is that there are not so unrealistic circumstances under which the Tigers do not win the division, which at first glance seems shocking but the numbers support.
 
Found out today Kyrie Irving has a concussion.

It's a good thing we have some depth at guard, and that Varejao is rapidly becoming one of the best centers in the East, but man will he be missed. Hopefully he gets very well, very soon.
 
First of all: Before we go on, don't get too excited, because it's nothing official or anything. But yeah, when perennial playoff opponent Jim Delany said earlier this year that he may actually be open to the idea of a four-team bracket, it turns out he wasn't just blowing smoke. Per the Chicago Tribune (emphasis added):

The Big Ten is not only ready to listen to proposals regarding a national four-team football playoff, league and school officials are kicking around an intriguing idea.

Sources told the Tribune that a Big Ten plan would remove the top four teams from the BCS bowl pool and have semifinal games played on the college campus of the higher seed. That would do away with the facade of "neutral" sites such as New Orleans, Miami and Pasadena, Calif., and ease travel concern for fans.

The championship game then could be bid out, like the Super Bowl.
[…]
"We have to listen to the fans; we cannot be tone-deaf," said Northwestern athletics director Jim Phillips, who chairs the Big Ten's Administrators Council. "The Big Ten is open and curious."

No, your eyes aren't playing tricks on you: While they may still need to call it a "Plus One" to get to sleep at night, power brokers in the conference that has most consistently bristled at any hint of a college football playoff over the last decade are going out of their way to take the reins of the renewed playoff push. No, your ears aren't playing tricks on you, either: I'm pretty sure there really is a chorus of angels humming Handel right now.

Not that the idea — again, we're not at a point that anything qualifies as a bona fide "proposal" — is lacking for opportunism: If a four-team playoff is as inevitable as it's beginning to appear, the B1G has a vested interest in getting on-campus semifinals on the agenda, because there is no other viable alternative that stands a chance of reversing the usual holiday migration pattern. In other words, it's the only way warm-weather teams can be compelled to come north for a change.

As it stands, seven of the Big Ten's eight current bowl tie-ins are in Sun Belt locales: Pasadena, Orlando, Tampa, Jacksonville, Phoenix, Houston and Dallas. (The only exception is the Little Caesar's Pizza Bowl, a punchline of a game that matches one of the lowlier B1G also-rans against a MAC team in Detroit.) Under any other scenario involving traditional bowl sites, they're still traveling into SEC, Big 12 and/or USC territory. In some years — like 2011, when no Big Ten team would have qualified for a four-team playoff, much less a home game — it wouldn't make any difference. But in the years it does produce a contender, the Big Ten's only hope for a miserable, frostbitten struggle on its own turf/tundra is a system that embraces a literal home-field advantage.

But enough reading between the lines. As for the actual, stated criteria for a possible playoff, Phillips said the conference will apply four specific questions:

1) Is it fair to the student-athletes already suiting up for 12-13 games?
2) Would it undermine college football's vital regular season?
3) Would the teams be chosen in a way that reflects competitive fairness?
And of course, 4) Can the Rose Bowl be protected?

The first three questions are low hurdles for anyone who actually wants to clear them. The fate of the Rose Bowl is a bit thornier: A system of on-campus semifinals would interfere with the traditional Big Ten/Pac-12 match-up in most years, and would also knock the Granddaddy a couple more rungs down the ladder in terms of prestige.

But that was also the case when the Big Ten and Pac-10 reluctantly agreed to join the "Bowl Alliance," thereby forming the BCS in the mid-nineties, and it was the case when they agreed to create a "Championship Game" outside of the four traditional bowl games that make up the BCS, guaranteeing the Rose Bowl proper on New Year's Day would never be the marquee game in any given season. On both occasions, the Big Ten acquiesced. Now, it's time to see how it likes the view from the front of the train.

Courtesy of Yahoo Sports.

Thank god the Big 10 has finally gotten with the program. Hopefully we soon do get those instances where SEC teams have to go up into cold weathered cities in late December/early-January and see how they play in the cold ground/rough surface. And a NCG in a northern city like Detroit, Indy (which was great as a SB host, from all reports), Chicago (although they don't have a dome football stadium) would be a nice change from the Rose Bowl, Superdome, Phoenix Stadium, and Orange Bowl.
 
1) Is it fair to the student-athletes already suiting up for 12-13 games?

Of course it is.
FCS Champion North Dakota State played 15 games.
Division II Champion Pittsburg State played 14, while runner up Wayne State played 15.
Division III Champion UW Whitewater played 15.

If it's fair for them, it's fair for FBS teams.

2) Would it undermine college football's vital regular season?

Ummm...did you see the BCS National Championship game? LSU beat Alabama at Alabama, and then had to play them again...Despite Alabama not winning the SEC, despite Alabama not making the SEC Title game, despite Alabama not even winning it's SEC division. Frankly, the BCS title game this year undermined the regular season far more than a 4 team playoff would. The whole value of the regular season argument is a complete joke.

3) Would the teams be chosen in a way that reflects competitive fairness?

I guess it depends on what you define "competive fairness" as. I don't have a problem with taking 1-4 BCS rankings with 1 vs 4, 2 vs 3 like the Big Ten suggests. A four team playoff is a start. I want a bigger playoff, but I understand that they need to take baby steps. If that means the top 4 teams at first, so be it.

4) Can the Rose Bowl be protected?

I am a Michigan fan. I am a Big Ten fan. I am a fan of the Big Ten's traditional affiliation with the Rose Bowl. However, I am first and foremost a college football fan. If it means a real playoff, I don't care if the Rose Bowl is protected or not. A college football playoff is in the best interests of the entire sport, not just a few teams out of two conferences. I would gladly trade the tradition of the Rose Bowl for a real college football playoff without hesitation.
 
Yoenis Cespedes signed with the Athletics, it appears. 4 years at 36 million. Interesting. I can't say I'm on board with spending that much money on him, but if he earns it, the A's will look like geniuses. I imagine most of the next four years for Cespedes will be building value, since the A's are unlikely to be headed anywhere until about 2015.
 
So I was doing some reading on how Tony Dungy was blaming the Gregg Williams-led Redskins defense for Peyton Manning's neck problems, and I came along this gem.

There's a huge rumor in NFL circles that his son was gay, which is why Dungy ignored him and left him behind with friends of the family when he left Tampa, and that ultimately his disapproval and shaming of him drove him to suicide.

Has anyone else heard this? Because if so, it just makes me hate Tony Dungy that much more.
 
So I was doing some reading on how Tony Dungy was blaming the Gregg Williams-led Redskins defense for Peyton Manning's neck problems, and I came along this gem.

There's a huge rumor in NFL circles that his son was gay, which is why Dungy ignored him and left him behind with friends of the family when he left Tampa, and that ultimately his disapproval and shaming of him drove him to suicide.

Has anyone else heard this? Because if so, it just makes me hate Tony Dungy that much more.

If there was any coach in the NFL I thought would be more understanding of anybody that would have been Dungy. Can you show me a link to that article, because that is very interesting.
 
Nah, I remember hearing that rumor as soon as he died, and while I doubt that's the main reason he killed himself, I'm sure it played a part.
 
So basically since the Illini aren't in the NCAA tourney, and I'm a casual MSU fan, I couldn't care less about March Madness. I just want baseball to be here.
 
So basically since the Illini aren't in the NCAA tourney, and I'm a casual MSU fan, I couldn't care less about March Madness. I just want baseball to be here.

Do you get MLB Network? They've been showing a profile of the White Sox as part of their 30 Teams in 30 Days thing, and it's pretty cool.

I share your enthusiasm for baseball to get here ASAP. Though I've found basketball to be an entertaining alternative now that the Cavaliers aren't just painful to watch. I mean, last year was hard. So hard. This year at least I can reasonably have some hope.
 

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