Johnny Manziel declares for the 2014 NFL draft.

What kind of NFL career will Johnny Manziel have?

  • Elite

  • Very Good

  • Average

  • Absolute Bust


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LSN80

King Of The Ring
I normally wouldn't create a thread for just one player, but with so many underclassman deciding to stay in school, I feel this deserves a mention. Manziel generated quite a bit of controversy during his two seasons at Texas A & M, including an NCAA investigation that he took money for autographs. He was eventually suspended for the first half of his team's opener this season, a laugher over Rice. Overall, his sophomore season was not as good as his freshman year, but it was also a hard act to follow. Manziel, in 2012, had become the first player in NCAA history to win the Heisman trophy.

Currently, the only QB's ranked ahead of Manziel in almost every Mock Draft I've seen are Teddy Bridgewater from Louisville, and Blake Bortles of Central FLorida. The character issues will likely follow Manziel until he shows, for an extended period of time, that he's matured. I would not be surprised if a team or two passed on Manziel due to character issues alone. Maturity issues aside, however, and where does Manziel land? Houston, at #1, is in need of a QB. Could Manziel go there, or would Houston be better off with the more "NFL ready" players in Bridgewater or Bortles?

If you were drafting for Houston, and dead-set on taking a QB, who do you take here?

The other thing about Manziel is this: His arm strength isn't tremendous, which could prove problematic for a QB standing at only 6'0 tall. He's also benefitted from having two sure-fire first round picks on his offensive line in Cedric Ogbuehi and Jake Matthews, and a premiere WR in Mike Evans. Most of the reads I've found that discount Manziel because of these things are also people who want to see him flop, however. Throwing for 63 TDs and running for 30 more in two seasons are impressive statistics at any level. Having said that, I ask:

Will Manziel become an elite QB(Manning, Brady, Rodgers), a very good one(Rothlisberger, Rivers) an average one(Alex Smith, Joe Flacco), or a complete bust(Ryan Leaf, Blaine Gabbert)?

Discuss all things Manziel here.
 
I doubt the Texans draft him since Bridgewater seems to be the sure thing and usually when there's a sure thing at QB and a team needs one (Lions with Stafford, Rams with Bradford, Colts with Luck, etc.) he gets taken. Bridgewater is the more developed player right now and has spent more time in a pro-style system, so I'd be surprised if a team that's only a decent QB and a few others away from being a contender again taking a risk on Manziel.

I think Manziel's ceiling is a top 5 QB range, but I wouldn't be surprised to see him end up like Russell Wilson has his first two years in the league. Both guys are on the short side for QBs, but both are extremely mobile and pretty accurate throwers. If I'm a Cleveland or a Jacksonville, I'm seriously considering taking him not only because he's a talented kid worth taking a flyer on, but he'll also put some butts in seats and have the national fanbase covering them more. Could maybe even get a prime time game or two his first year.
 

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