The basic idea behind this thread kind of summarizes the problem I have with the Rumble...going in you have 30 wrestlers competing, but only 3-4 of whom fans have come to expect, or even accept to win. Kind of takes the fun out of it. To me a battle royal or royal rumble are matches where anyone should have a chance of winning. You put that many people in the ring, and anything could happen. Right now, going into the next rumble, you pretty much have Cena, Orton, Edge, HHH and maybe Sheamus and Taker who are considered possible winners, and two of those will likely be in a separate match, bringing it to 4 people out of 30 who could win. Maybe Evan Bourne lasts an hour, but gets knocked out by a fresh HHH at #30. If Kofi Kingston wins, the IWC would be wash with "why??" and "he doesn't deserve it" threads. At best, people will be immediately constructing the scenario where he loses his title shot.
Now the Duggan win was different, Duggan was much younger and at least somewhat of a player then, and as was pointed out, the Rumble was new and not as meaningful. But I'd like to see a random upset here and there...a Tyson losing to Buster Douglas, a Kimbo Slice getting his butt kicked by a relative unknown, a U.S. hockey team beating the Russians. I'd love to see HHH & Cena eliminate each other just as #30 Yoshi Tatsu's name is called. It can happen in sports, but is virtually impossible in wrestling (at least without some massive build-up or outside interference, or screwjob copy).