JWGunslinger
Warrior Forever
Main Card
Heavyweight Championship: Cain Velasquez vs Junior Dos Santos
Preliminary Card (Facebook)
Lightweight bout: Clay Guida vs. Ben Henderson
Featherweight bout: Dustin Poirier vs. Pablo Garza
Featherweight bout: Cub Swanson vs. Ricardo Lamas
Welterweight bout: DaMarques Johnson vs. Clay Harvison
Bantamweight bout: Norifumi Yamamoto vs. Darren Uyenoyama
Featherweight bout: Mackens Semerzier vs. Robert Peralta
Bantamweight bout: Alex Caceres vs. Cole Escovedo
Welterweight bout: Mike Pierce vs. Paul Bradley
Light Heavyweight bout: Aaron Rosa vs. Matt Lucas
Well its finally here, the UFC is making its Fox debut with UFC on Fox 1 Saturday and boy am I excited. Sure the fact that the main event is the only one televised and the rest are on Facebook, but in the future the Fox cards will feature more fights. I think that Velasquez vs Dos Santos is an excellent fight to start the UFCs deal with Fox on because theyre both monsters who always come to fight and you cant go wrong with a Heavyweight title fight. Lets get to the card and see what match-ups we have to look forward to.
Aaron Rosa vs. Matt Lucas
Our first match-up features UFC newcomer Matt Lucas going up against battle tested Aaron Rosa, in what should be a real barn burner. Lucas is a prospect coming out of Arizona Combat Sports with a record of 14-2 with a notable win over Homer Moore. Rosa is another recent addition to the roster, after picking up his 16th win over TUF 10 cast member Abe Wagner it was time for Rosa to make his debut. However he didnt find the success he hoped for, losing a bloody battle to Joey Beltran at UFC 131 by TKO. Both are young tough guys looking for their first win in the promotion, Rosa has a little more experience with tough competition after his fights with Jared Hamman and Rafael Cavalcante but Lucas is a tough hombre. I think the place where these two are uneven is in their ground game, Rosa has one but usually prefers to stand while Lucas is mediocre, and I think that his weak submission defense will come into play here, and if he cant finish it he will control him throughout the fight.
Rosa by TKO(Ground N Pound)
Mike Pierce vs. Paul Bradley
If theres one thing I can say for this fight its that this one will definitely be hitting the ground for some time. Mike Pierce is one of the better wrestlers in the UFCs Welterweight division, the only reason he doesnt get more recognition is hes outshined by the likes of Jon Fitch and Johnny Hendricks who have both beaten him by decision. He definitely knows what hes doing on the ground, he has good enough striking to survive on the feet, and hes a tough dude. Paul Bradley is a guy who has been looking to find success in the octagon for a long time, he was originally on The Ultimate Fighter(I believe Hughes vs Serra) and was forced out due to an injury before he could even fight, and because of this he had to take the very long road to the UFC. He finally made it this year but instead of finding a win he received a decision loss to Rafael Natal at UFC 133. I would love to see Paul be able to pick up that win in the biggest stage of MMA in the world but I dont see him beating Pierce, especially since the win that got Pierce into the UFC was a decision over Bradley in a smaller promotion.
Pierce by Decision
Alex Caceres vs. Cole Escovedo
Oh please let Escovedo win this so that Caceres gets the boot from the UFC, I beg of you MMA Gods! For those of you who do not know, Alex Caceres(aka Bruce Leroy) was the biggest douche in the history of The Ultimate Fighter. He douched up season 12 so much that everyone in the house wanted to kick his ass, and fortunatly since TUF he has been getting his ass kicked. After the show he did not fight on the finale but he fought later at UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis, where he was submitted by Mackens Semerzier with a Rear Naked Choke. A few months later he faced Joe Hettes as UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle and was once again submitted by a Rear Naked Choke. Now is his third attempt to pick up a UFC win, but this one will be even more difficult than the last when he steps in against Escovedo. Cole is a tough vet who has faced the likes of Jens Pulver and Urijah Faber, and defeated respected warriors Bart Palaszewski and Yoshiro Maeda. He has had a tough time since coming to the UFC as well, losing a decision to Renan Barao at UFC 130 and to Takeya Mizugaki by TKO at 135. However in this fight where both need to break a two fight losing streak to keep their jobs safe I see Escovedo using his veteran knowledge to end Leroys night before hearing the final bell.
Escovedo by Submission(Rear Naked Choke)
Mackens Semerzier vs. Robert Peralta
Mackens Semerzier is a relative newcomer to the sport but in the short amount of time hes been fighting hes gotten a lot of experience. In his fifth professional fight he made his debut in the WEC, and scored a submission win over Wagnney Fabiano. However this would be his final win in the WEC, after that he dropped 3 in a row to top fighters like Javier Vasquez and Cub Swanson. But most recently he got back to his winning ways in his UFC debut against Alex Caceres, winning by rear naked choke and putting the cocky bitch to sleep. Peralta has a little more experience, 11 of his 15 wins come by TKO/KO and he is ready to add another to his resume. Peralta mainly a stand up fighter as you might expect, he is very good at avoiding takedowns and has good leg kicks. He recently made his UFC debut at UFC Fight Night: Sheilds vs Ellenburger, defeating Mike Lullo by decision, and he nearly finished him several times. If Semerzier can get it to the ground he has the ability to finish it but I dont see that happening and Peralta will either win a decision by controlling the fight and keeping it stand up or he will finish Semerzier.
Peralta by TKO
Norifumi Yamamoto vs. Darren Uyenoyama
Time for Kid Yamamoto to pick up his first win in the UFC, if you dont know who this guy is then hit youtube and I promise you will not be disappointed. Yamamoto is one of the most dynamic and crazy strikers in the Bantamweight division, with wins over many notable fighters including Rani Yahya, Genki Sudo, Caol Uno, and Jeff Curran. Hes hit a bit of a rough patch lately dropping his highly anticipated octagon debut to Demetrious Johnson at UFC 126, but he will be coming into this fight hungry and it seems as though Uyenoyama may be no more than fresh meat in this fight. Darren is a UFC newcomer sporting a record of 6-3 with a 3-0 record in Strikeforce, hes a well rounded fighter but he is being fed to the dogs in this fight, and the dog is a very dangerous pissed off Japanese warrior named Kid Yamamoto. This fight is pretty much a set up for Norifumis first win in the octagon, I pray for Uyenoyamas life.
Yamamoto by KO
DaMarques Johnson vs. Clay Harvison
A battle of guys who were my favorites on their seasons of The Ultimate Fighter, Johnson of Team Hendo and Harvison of Team Lesnar are going to come to kill in their match this Saturday. DaMarques has had an up and down career since joining the UFC, where he has had very high highs and low lows. After a disappointing loss in the finale of TUF: United States vs United Kingdom, he went on to pick up a Submission of the Night against Edgar Garcia and a Knockout of the Night against Brad Blackburn. Then after that he tasted defeat once again losing by TKO to Matt Riddle, but followed it up with an impressive victory over Mike Guymon where he submitted him into retirement with a Body Triangle. Then most recently he dropped another embarrassing loss to Amir Sodallah, basically when he comes to fight he is very dangerous and impressive with his ground game compliments of Jeremy Horn, but when he loses he is unmotivated, gets tired and wilts. Harvison had more luck at the finale of his season of TUF, when he picked up a decision over fellow cast mate Justin Edwards but followed it up with a loss to Seth Baczynski where he was outstruck and submitted. Harvison is extremely tough but this fight is bad news for him if it goes to the ground considering Johnsons excellent BJJ. If DaMarques comes to kill and he gets it to the ground like I think he will then its be an early night, but if he cant keep Clay down then hes in for a world of hurt.
Johnson by Submission(Arm Triangle)
Cub Swanson vs. Ricardo Lamas
This one is going to be a war when two WEC vets collide in this Featherweight battle. Cub Swanson is one of the guys you think of when you think of the WEC, the guy had countless wars in the promotion from 2007 to 2010 when he last fought at one of the final events before their top fighters were transferred to the UFC. He faced everyone from Jens Pulver to Jose Aldo, and now its time for him to make his long awaited debut. He was supposed to face hot Featherweight Erik Koch in March but was forced out of the fight due to injury, he was again set to face Koch in July but was injured yet again and now he is finally 100 percent and ready to go against Ricardo Lamas. Ricardo did not take as much time to get his first fight after the transfer, after a good stint in the WEC where he but together a record of 4-2 with wins over Bart Palaszewski and James Krause. He lost his final WEC match against Yuri Alcantara by KO but after that loss he was fired up to get to work in the UFC and picked up an impressive TKO(head kick and punches) over Matt Grice. Both guys are warriors and can dish it out but I think Cub is just above Lamas on another level and he will pick this one up.
Swanson by Decision
Dustin Poirier vs. Pablo Garza
This should be an interesting one, two former WEC standouts who are now making a name for themselves in the UFC collide in this Striker vs Grappler classic. Dustin Poirier has always been legit, he came into the WEC with 3 wins by Armbar and 4 by TKO/KO, no losses. In the promotion he went 1-1 but looked very good in both fights, however it was in his UFC debut where he turned heads. Poirier took out the man who was set to fight Jose Aldo for the Featherweight title in Josh Grispi in an all out dominating performance that put him on the map, throw in another dominant win over Jason Young at UFC 131 and we have a young man on fire. The same can be said for Pablo Garza though, who came into the WEC with a record of 9 wins and no losses with 6 by submission. He lost in his WEC debut at WEC 51 to Zhang Tie Quan by Guillotine, but then he entered the UFC ready to make people forget about his sole professional loss. When he fought Fredson Paixao at the TUF 12 finale he did just that, picking up an impressive Knockout Of The Night for a flying knee KO. And when he followed that win up with another bonus winning Submission Of The Night over Yves Jabouin via flying triangle choke it was clear that this young man is here to make an impact. Both of these guys are very tough, Garza may not look it with those little bird legs of his but he can take a hit. The advantage on the feet is Poiriers and the ground belongs to Garza, however Pablo also has very good knees from the clinch so watch for those. This one is hard to call and although I would like to see Garza pull off another impressive finish I think Poirier is going to be too resilient.
Poirier by Decision
Clay Guida vs. Ben Henderson
Well I con honestly say that I have never been so torn on a fight, on one side theres Clay Guida who has always blown me away with his incredible pace and freakish cario, and then theres Ben Henderson who was one of my favorite WEC fighters and has been blowing away his competition since losing his Lightweight title to Anthony Pettis. Guida has been a big name in the UFC for some time now but being a legitimate contender for the title somehow always avoided him. In the past hes taken down big names and hes the former Strikeforce Lightweight Champion, but whats impressive is his most recent winning streak that hes riding, which includes submissions over Shannon Gugerty, Rafael Dos Anjos and Takanori Gomi, and a decision win over the last man to beat Henderson, Anthony Pettis. Guida is as focused and ready as ever but he is going up against a guy who has improved so much in his last two fights its scary. Benson Henderson started off as a straight submission guy, winning most of his early pro fights by submission as well as his WEC debut against Anthony Njkouani. Henderson is a born fighter and when he got to the WEC he really adapted and became a true Mixed Martial Artist, he then TKOd hot lightweight Shane Roller and then went on to win the Interim title by defeating Donald Cerrone by Decision in the Fight Of The Year. He defeated Jamie Varner by Guillotine to win the Undisputed title and then picked up his first defense in a rematch against Cerrone by Guillotine. After all that he lost his precious title at the final WEC event by decision to Anthony Pettis and that turned Bendo into a pissed off monster. In his first fight after the transition to the UFC he beat the hell out of Mark Bocek at UFC 129 and then most recently at UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle he demolished and dominated contender Jim Miller to solidify his spot as one of the top Lightweights in the UFC. Ben Henderson is literally scary when he fights now, to the point where Im watching and I feel bad for who hes fighting, maybe its his new tattoo on his back . The point is that Clay puts on a crazy pace and has cardio for days but Bendo has good cardio, is ruthless & mean and it is pretty much impossible to submit him.
Ben Henderson by Submission(Guillotine Choke)
Cain Velasquez vs. Junior Dos Santos
We have waited so long for this fight that the fact we get to see this go down on Saturday is almost surreal. Cain Velasquez is an unstoppable wrecking machine, but so is Junior Dos Santos. Cain is 9-0(7-0 in the UFC) and has knocked out top fighters like Ben Rothwell, Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira and Brock Lesnar on his path to the UFC Heavyweight title, but he did it and did so flawlessly. However he has been out with a bad shoudler for just over a year now so that adds a little uncertainty to this fight. At the same time Junior Dos Santos has slowly been building his record up and it rivals that of Velasquez, as Dos Santos is 13-1(7-0 in the UFC) with wins over the likes of Fabricio Werdum, Mirko Cro Cop, Gabriel Gonzaga and Shane Carwin. Neither of these monsters have met a force that could stop them in the UFC and on Saturday that will change for one of them. Its a hard fight to call considering nobody has been able to beat these guys, the only thing that we can look to is Cains fight with Cheick Kongo which he won but was continuously rocked. Aside from that fight we havent really seen his chin tested too much, but it is possible that his chin could be the end of him in this fight. Dos Santos does not have any weaknesses that we have seen, Cains offense could show give him some big problems though, but from what weve seen in his fights he has a very solid chin as he was able to take shots from Carwin. Velasquez could always take this fight to the ground but Dos Santos not only has good takedown defense but he has a ground game that we havent seen but is most likely very good considering hes under Nog. This is a really hard one to call, I like both guys a lot and if I had to pick off likes alone then I would go with Cain. This one really could go either way and both could knock out the other, but I just had a creeping suspicion that JDS is going to take it. So I will be backing Cain and rooting for him but I have a bad feeling that Junior finishes him.
Dos Santos by TKO
Bonus Predictions
Knockout Of The Night: Norifumi Yamamoto
Submission Of The Night: DaMarques Johnson
Fight Of The Night: Clay Guida vs Ben Henderson