Care to reference the exact points that helped influence your decision? I'm having a hard time believing that you required any actual coaxing considering how you decorate your posts.
I'm not going to lie, I went into this match up with the mindset that Cena takes this first round match-up easily against Earthquake. Having said that, I was reading the thread to see if there were any posts that could legitimately sway my opinion that this match would go any different. The exact points where it was confirmed in my mind was:
1.)
"The only reason the crowd would pay money to watch John Cena wrestle in a TNA arena would be to watch him lose"
So why would TNA as a company make a bad business decision and have Cena lose here when they can continue to keep having those fans pay their money to keep watching Cena come close to losing, only to win until he runs into a more established guy? The reason Cena's win against JBL at WM 21 was so big was because JBL was the heel that kept finding ways to win against guys like The Undertaker, Eddie Guerrero, and Booker T. It got to a point where you wanted to see JBL lose and lose in a big way, such as the biggest ppv in pro wrestling, to a big star, such as John Cena. Unless you are willing to put Earthquake in the final four of this region, having Earthquake pulling off an upset like this makes absolutely no sense.
2.)
"I'm under the impression that a TNA ring makes a huge difference."
Failed to sway me on this statement. While they are outside of the WWF/E ring, it still is
inside the world of professional wrestling. In a professional wrestling ring, John Cena is still a 14 world champion amd is still one of the bigger draws in the business whether he's booked to win or lose. Earthquake doesn't have those credentials and, again, unless you have Earthquake going deep in this tournament to make him a legit bonafide star in pro wrestling, then you're wasting money compared to the money that you could be making farther down the road in this tournament.
Those were the two main quotes that you said that sealed the deal for me.
That one guy made a few other points too you know. I can see TNA begging John to just accept a heel role for his debut, I have a hard time seeing John accept a heel role considering he'll probably never be able to come back from one. If he turns heel and fails, his career fails. If he stays a face and fails, he keeps his loyal fan-base intact.
But most of the fans that turned on him absolutely loved John Cena when he was a heel in the WWE. It's a major reason that he turned face in the first place. He played the perfect heel in the ECW One Night Stand PPV and, yes I know that he lost that match. But, he lost because that was the big payoff for that feud. It hasn't reached that point where it's time for Cena to lose yet.
I get the feeling that you would rate John as the number one anything he sets his mind too. You know how Cena can play a great heel? By continuing to promote himself exactly as he has been promoting himself. It's working tremendously well for him in the WWE, you might think that he's the greatest heel of all time already considering how much of the WWE crowd boos him.
I'd label him as the top heel in TNA because as you have said in this debate, the "TNA fans would react similarly to the ECW fans." That is the type of reaction that only some of the top heels get and other heels could only dream of getting. If people are paying to watch you get beat instead of the other person winning, that means you are a great heel in a classic use of the term. Heels have to win to make the crowd hate them more and more. I'll say I'm going with Cena until if/when he meets up with Sting.
Then, the argument for a TNA ring would have a huge impact on the result. Not now.
That all depends on who is playing the good guy though. I made that argument when it was stated that this match looks like it would be to the standard of an early 90's face vs heel showdown. I feel that fans are a little more savvy these days regarding whether they accept the given role of a particular performer. It's not so much that they don't want to see a predictable program of a face vs a heel, it's that they don't want to see certain people get a series of mildly entertaining wins that they seem to feel that they're entitled to.
I believe those fans want to see a good story with their favorite wrestler getting over at the end of the day whether he's a face or a heel. If there's no favorite in the story, then they'll want to see a story that makes sense at the end of the day. Normally, that results in the good guy going over the bad guy. Either way, there is nothing wrong with delaying what the fans want for a good payoff. Just look at Daniel Bryan for WM 30.
That all depends on the performer. That's Kurt Angle, a man whose resume goes a lot farther than just what he accomplished in the WWE. His popularity with the WWE helped him get over with TNA management, the fact that he still had a lot to prove of himself was what helped him get over with the TNA fans. Christian is a very different performer when compared to John Cena. At that time John Cena wouldn't have sullied his good name by competing in one of their tiny venues, Christian was willing to help put TNA into a place where it could compete with the WWE.
So Cena's popularity in North America wouldn't get him over with TNA management? He's the most liked athlete according to Facebook why wouldn't TNA use that to help put more butts in the seats? I'm not saying put the belt on Cena from the time he steps foot in a TNA ring, but having him lose to Earthquake in the first round of a big-time tournament is just not that realistic. The more often you have Cena wrestle, the more people you have watching your product.
Did Cena's mainstream star power help him when he was competing in front of ECW fans? I would say that his infectious character hurt his potential to get over with them more than it helped. TNA fans didn't just like Kurt Angle and Christian because they had some amount of success in the WWE, they liked them because they were willing to shed their WWE image and exclusively represent TNA. John Cena can't shed the image that the WWE made for him, no matter where he works he'll do so as a WWE franchise.
Again, Cena's role in font of the ECW fans was that of a heel. And his popularity in the WWE did indeed help him in front of the ECW fans. A less popular Cena doesn't generate the reaction that Cena got. Similar to what you said, you could have put just about anybody in RVD's position at One Night Stand but, you couldn't have Cena replaced and have the same type of feel to that match. Cena is probably the ultimate definition of a company man. The reason he represents the WWE in everything he does is because he works for the WWE. It wouldn't be that far of a stretch to imagine that if he were to be a part of the TNA brand, everything he'd do then would be for the promotion of TNA. I don't believe Ken Anderson has completely shed the WWE stigma, as he still does the entrance in TNA that he was known for in the WWE.
This type of granted track record is part of why fans are so adamant about wanting to see him fail. Upsets do happen in the professional wrestling world, and it would be Earthquake's time to finally have his.
And they will keep paying to watch Cena matches with the hope that he gets beat. And then Cena will win. They fans pay again, then Cena wins in the second round. This can go on and on to the point where whoever beats him in the tournament would go into the TNA Hall of Fame off of that match alone. But, that doesn't happen if Cena is eliminated early. Don't blow it this early by having Earthquake beat Cena then having a match where nobody is watching between Earthquake and Arn Anderson/Christian.