I think this could be one of the most evenly contested world cups in years, for the past three world cups Australia have been clear favourites and they were a class above everyone else. This time around there are at least four teams who I feel have a strong chance at winning it and another four who could be viewed as dark horses. I'll run through each of the four I think could win in order of the chances I think they have of winning it.
India: Leading into this world cup they have to be favourites, they have everything going there way, the majority of the games will be played either on their home conditions or on conditions such as Sri Lanka or Bangladesh that they are used too. They have a great team at the moment although I am not entirely sure on the decision to leave Rohit Sharma out, I guess they have their reasons though. They have been in great form as of late too, thumping NZ 5-0 and doing well in SA so far with a 1-1 series as of the time I write this. Everything is poised for them to win and I will be surprised if they don't.
Sri Lanka: I think they will be a very dangerous team in this tournament, like India they will be playing in conditions they are suited to. They will also be full of confidence, coming off a one day series win against Australia in Aussie. The only thing I feel could harm their chances is the fact they don't get a series straight before the world cup and every other major team bar the West Indies does, would it have been so hard to have a WI vs Sri Lanka series out of fairness?
South Africa They are looking to be a good team at the moment, they are pressing for a number one spot in test cricket and they have a great team in one day cricket. Everything is looking good for them, Smith has found form with a good 77 in their last game, Kallis is in the form of his life, they have the best fast bowling attack in the world in Steyn and Morkel. They are a great chance of winning this.
Australia: As much as I want to, it is hard to write Australia completely out of this. Despite their dramatic drop off in test cricket they are still ranked number one in one day internationals and as they showed a couple of nights ago they are still a good one day team, Watson's hundred was amazing. I feel they have missed a major trick in leaving out Brad Hodge, his form in domestic cricket has been unbelievable I know he is old but if you want a winning team then for me he is in it.