I know that Spring Training has just gone underway, but we're entering March, which means that the greatest sport on earth is just around the corner. As such, it is time for our now annual predictions thread, where we'll predict things such as division orders, playoff teams, award winners, and other things. I'll try and get back to this at the end of the year, and the person with the most correct total predictions will get something from me (what that is, I have no clue. More then likely, just some nice rep or a nice message in my sig. But it's the THOUGHT that counts, people).
Now that I got all of the lame opening paragraph crap out of the way, I'm going to predict divison by division, before I give my final predictions a few days before Opening Day. So, without further adieu, time for my first division breakdown, which will be in the AL East.
AL East Standings
1. Boston
2. New York
3. Baltimore
4. Tampa Bay
5. Toronto
I think it's quite clear that this is THE most talented division in all of baseball. Boston and New York are always going to be featured at the top of the standings, and the other 3 could do well in any division that wasn't this. Such is life. The reason why I chose the Red Sox over their rival is simple, Adrian Gonzalez and Carl Crawford will have a field day with the Green Monster for 81 of their games. I could see Gonzalez going 40-40 (as in HR's-2Bs) because he was a monster in a terrible hitters field, Petco Park. The lineup 1-6 is just dangerous, Ellsbury, Pedroia, Crawford, Gonzalez, Ortiz, Youkilis will produce a great deal of runs. If there's a question, it will be if Beckett and Lackey can bounce back to their old selves and help out Lester and Buchholz, who provide a nice 1-2 punch. If they can, they can break 100 wins. If not, they may be fighting for a WC spot.
As for the Yankees, there hasn't been many changes from last year, but that might not neccesarily be a good thing. Why would you say that?, you might ask, but that's because they A) won't have Pettitte, who was a fine #2 behind Sabathia and B) have huge questions regarding pitching orders 3-5. Yes, Burnett will be a #3, but he was downright awful last year and if he puts up that type of performance again this year the Yankees won't make the postseason. Not only will there be questions about Burnett, but Freddy Garcia and their #5 starter (whomever that will be) as well. Their 8-9 bullpen with Soriano and Rivera should be one of baseballs best, but if their back end can't produce well, they will have their problems.
People may be wondering what I'm thinking putting Baltimore at #3 in the division, which is a big step up from where they have been lately. Yes, they were 66-96 last year, but let's not forget the last 50 or so games that Buck Showalter managed, the Orioles looked like a very good ballclub. They've had a few under the radar signings such as Vladimir Guerrero and Derek Lee, who'll give veteran leadership to a very young team. I think Jeremy Guthrie will have a breakout season as well, as he lowered his ERA half a run after Showalter came along, and went 7-3 in those last 11 starts. This team could make a run like the 08 Rays, but I think they may be a year away. Breaking .500, though, doesn't seem out of place.
Tampa, I feel, will feel the affects of playing in a small market that can't afford all of their key pieces. Yes, Price and Longoria, the faces of the team, are still there, but you can't tell me they'll lose Crawford, Garza, Pena (although he was quite bad last year) and all of their bullpen pieces and still pick up 95 wins. Yes, they have one of the best farm systems in all of baseball, but I don't see them striking gold two times in a matter of 3 years because this time people actually would see it coming. They may hang around until August, but their lack of depth in the bullpen and losing key veterans will cause them to fade away late.
As for Toronto, they could go anywhere from 3rd to 5th, but giving Shawn Marcum to Milwaukee and the overall talent of the other teams will hurt them. I see Jose Bautista regressing, slightly, not because of steroids, but because of a lack of protection around. This team would be fortunate to break .500, and I don't see it happening.
Coming up next, NL East.
Now that I got all of the lame opening paragraph crap out of the way, I'm going to predict divison by division, before I give my final predictions a few days before Opening Day. So, without further adieu, time for my first division breakdown, which will be in the AL East.
AL East Standings
1. Boston
2. New York
3. Baltimore
4. Tampa Bay
5. Toronto
I think it's quite clear that this is THE most talented division in all of baseball. Boston and New York are always going to be featured at the top of the standings, and the other 3 could do well in any division that wasn't this. Such is life. The reason why I chose the Red Sox over their rival is simple, Adrian Gonzalez and Carl Crawford will have a field day with the Green Monster for 81 of their games. I could see Gonzalez going 40-40 (as in HR's-2Bs) because he was a monster in a terrible hitters field, Petco Park. The lineup 1-6 is just dangerous, Ellsbury, Pedroia, Crawford, Gonzalez, Ortiz, Youkilis will produce a great deal of runs. If there's a question, it will be if Beckett and Lackey can bounce back to their old selves and help out Lester and Buchholz, who provide a nice 1-2 punch. If they can, they can break 100 wins. If not, they may be fighting for a WC spot.
As for the Yankees, there hasn't been many changes from last year, but that might not neccesarily be a good thing. Why would you say that?, you might ask, but that's because they A) won't have Pettitte, who was a fine #2 behind Sabathia and B) have huge questions regarding pitching orders 3-5. Yes, Burnett will be a #3, but he was downright awful last year and if he puts up that type of performance again this year the Yankees won't make the postseason. Not only will there be questions about Burnett, but Freddy Garcia and their #5 starter (whomever that will be) as well. Their 8-9 bullpen with Soriano and Rivera should be one of baseballs best, but if their back end can't produce well, they will have their problems.
People may be wondering what I'm thinking putting Baltimore at #3 in the division, which is a big step up from where they have been lately. Yes, they were 66-96 last year, but let's not forget the last 50 or so games that Buck Showalter managed, the Orioles looked like a very good ballclub. They've had a few under the radar signings such as Vladimir Guerrero and Derek Lee, who'll give veteran leadership to a very young team. I think Jeremy Guthrie will have a breakout season as well, as he lowered his ERA half a run after Showalter came along, and went 7-3 in those last 11 starts. This team could make a run like the 08 Rays, but I think they may be a year away. Breaking .500, though, doesn't seem out of place.
Tampa, I feel, will feel the affects of playing in a small market that can't afford all of their key pieces. Yes, Price and Longoria, the faces of the team, are still there, but you can't tell me they'll lose Crawford, Garza, Pena (although he was quite bad last year) and all of their bullpen pieces and still pick up 95 wins. Yes, they have one of the best farm systems in all of baseball, but I don't see them striking gold two times in a matter of 3 years because this time people actually would see it coming. They may hang around until August, but their lack of depth in the bullpen and losing key veterans will cause them to fade away late.
As for Toronto, they could go anywhere from 3rd to 5th, but giving Shawn Marcum to Milwaukee and the overall talent of the other teams will hurt them. I see Jose Bautista regressing, slightly, not because of steroids, but because of a lack of protection around. This team would be fortunate to break .500, and I don't see it happening.
Coming up next, NL East.