JWGunslinger
Warrior Forever
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Main Card
- Light Heavyweight Bout: Quinton Jackson vs. Matt Hamill
- Heavyweight Bout: Frank Mir vs. Roy Nelson
- Middleweight Bout: Brian Stann vs. Jorge Santiago
- Heavyweight Bout: Stefan Struve vs. Travis Browne
- Welterweight Bout: Thiago Alves vs. Rick Story
- Bantamweight Bout: Miguel Torres vs. Demetrious Johnson
- Middleweight Bout: Kendall Grove vs. Tim Boetsch
Preliminary Card
- Lightweight Bout: Gleison Tibau vs. Rafaello Oliveira
- Bantamweight Bout: Renan Barao vs. Cole Escovedo
- Bantamweight Bout: Chris Cariaso vs. Michael McDonald
I know UFC 130 isnt for about a month but the wait inbetween 128 and 129 killed me so I need this to get me through the next month to 130. Lets hear what everyone thinks about the great matchups on this stacked card!
I would write a more detailed analysis but I just wrote it all out a minute ago and my laptop died so that zapped my writing energy.
Bart Palazewski vs Cody McKenzie
This will be Palazewski's first fight in the UFC since he came over after the WEC merger.While in the WEC he was on a 4 fight win streak including a win over the last lightweight champion of the WEC Anthony Pettis until he lost a split decision to Kamal Shalrous at the final WEC card.
McKenzie will be embarking on his third UFC outing since competing on the 12th season of The Ultimate Fighter. At the TUF 12 finale he defeated fellow cast member Aaron Wilkinson by Guillotine, bringing his MMA record to 12-0 with 11 by Guillotine. After that he faced crafty vet Yves Edwards at UFC Fight For The Troops 2 where he lost by rear naked choke after a spirited effort.
In this fight the strengths are very clear, Palazewski will enjoy a big advantage on the feet while McKenzie will be the better man on the ground. Due to the fact that all fights start on the feet, Bart has good takedown defense and McKenzie often stands when he shouldnt i'm going to have to say PALAZEWSKI BY TKO
Tim Boetsch vs Kendall Grove
This fight really does not excite me very much due to the fact that Tim Boetsch is in it. But Tim is on his second UFC run, so far he is 1-1. He is a cut and dry kickboxer and wrestler who holds notable wins over David Heath and Michael Patt.
Kendall Grove is the Ultimate Fighter season 3 winner and he will be looking to score a win here after recently losing a decision to former middleweight title challenger Demian Maia. Grove is very well rounded and I dont see him threatened really anywhere by Boetsch. Look for Grove to capitolize on Boetsch's weak game off his back and ground n pound for the win. GROVE BY TKO
Miguel Torres vs Demetrious Johnson
At one point in his career nobody thought Miguel Torres could not be defeated, he won the WEC Bantamweight title in his second fight in the promotion and went on to defend it successfully three times. He was then upset by Brian Bowles and defeated again by Joseph Benavidez. Since then he has won two straight fights including his UFC debut.
Johnson is a rising star on a three fight win streak including a major upset over japanese star Norifumi Yamamoto in his UFC debut. He has strong takedowns and a good top game which he will want to utilize to avoid Torres's strong stand up skills. Torres will most likely take this one but i'm going with the underdog. JOHNSON BY DECISION
Thiago Alves vs Rick Story
Can you say Fight of the Night? Rick Story is the ultimate underdog who continues to win fights he isnt supposed to. After losing his UFC debut to John Hathaway he has gone on a 5 fight win streak, a very impressive feat especially in a stacked division like 170. However he faces a very difficult task ahead in Thiago "Pitbull" Alves.
Alves in my opinion is the best pure muay thai practitioner in the welterweight division, 3rd to Shogun and Anderson Silva in MMA. He went on an impressive run through the welterweight's elite from 2006 to 2008, amassing a 7 fight win streak over big names like Karo Pasysian, Chris Lytle, former champ Matt Hughes and Josh Koscheck. After this run he hit a speedbump, losing two fights in a row to champion Georges St. Pierre and fellow contender Jon Fitch. Since then he has gone back to his winning ways, scoring a dominant win over John Howard. This seems to be the begining of another rise to the top for Pitbull and I believe his powerful technical Muay Thai will overwhelm Story's brawling style. ALVES BY DECISION
Brian Stann vs Jorge Santiago
This is the one fight on the card that will either have me throwing the remote at the tv or screaming for joy in the end. I am a huge Stann fan so my pick might be slighty biased, but I will try not to be. Brian Stann came into the UFC somewhat quietly for a former WEC champion coming in with a record of 6-1 with all first round finishes. He lost his debut by submission but then went on to win two fights including a fight against former WEC champ Steve Cantwell, avenging his only pre UFC loss. After this his weakness on the ground came up again when he had no answer for Phil Davis's wrestling and lost a decision. That fight was a major turning point for "All American" as he began improving all aspects of his game at Jackson's MMA Academy and made the drop to middleweight where he would be at less of a disadvantage. The move worked as he went to win a submission of the night against Mike Massenzio. Then he made the move that would skyrocket his career, he called out grizzled vet Chris Leben. Stann went into that fight as a heavy underdog and pulled off a major upset by scoring a tko in the first round.
Jorge Santiago also had a rocky start to his UFC career. He won his debut against Justin Levens by knockout but went on to get KO'd by Chris Leben and Alan Belcher. However his post UFC career was much different as he put together 11 wins with one loss, defeating notable names like Andrei Semenov, Jeremy Horn and Trevor Prangly. Also he won the Dream middleweight title and in his second defense won the fight of the year against Kazou Misaki.
This is going to be a very interesting fight, both are looking for success since reinventing themselves. Santiago definetly has more expeirience but Stann is very hungry and I see him fighting for the title in the near future. It could go either way but my honest pick is STANN BY KO
Travis Browne vs Stefan Struve
Browne made an impressive debut when he tko'd TUF vet James McSweeney. His next fight he managed to hang with heavyweight gatekeeper Cheick Kongo, he Drew with Kongo however he would have lost had his opponent not held the fence. He showed that he can deal with a legitimate heavyweight but he also showed a lack of cardio.
Struve a 5-2 UFC record but when he has a step up in competition he loses. He is not your typical heavyweight in that he is a towering 6'11 and weighs 253 lbs, and with this and his dutch kickboxing background he can really mess guys up.
In this fight I really like Struve as the skinny tall underdog and I believe he will use Browne's weak cardio to his advantage. STRUVE BY DECISION
Frank Mir vs Roy Nelson
Frank Mir is the former Heavyweight and former interim heavyweight champion. All but 2 of his professional fights have been in the UFC and he is known as one of the greatest heavyweight submission artists in history. After a loss to heavyweight champion Brock Lesnar and a knockout loss to Shane Carwin, Mir has put on over 20 lbs of muscle in order to survive against larger heavyweights. It gave him some trouble in his last fight with Mirko Cro Cop but he managed to finish him in the 3rd round.
Roy Nelson is the former IFL heavyweight champion and winner of season 10 of The Ultimate Fighter. Since coming off TUF he has won two knock out of the night's and his last fight and only UFC loss came by decision at the hands of Junior Dos Santos. Though he lost that fight he displayed alot of heart and a great chin. He has knock out power in his hands and his is an accomplished BJJ blackbelt under Renzo Graice who once defeated Mir in jiu jitsu competition.
This fight could go so many way it isnt funny, either man could win on the feet and on the ground. They both have the potential to knock the other out or submit the other. I will say that Frank is more technical on the feet but Roy has more KO power. The ground will definetly be a stalemate as both are world class blackbelts. However my only problem with Nelson is that he is not active enough on the feet. I see lots of punches that dont land, I see alot of clinching and I see MIR BY DECISION
Rampage Jackson vs Matt Hammil
I have to say this match up bothers me. First we were going to get a rematch that everyone wanted to see between Rampage and Rashad Evans, then Evans pulled out due to injury and was replaced by Thiago Silva but then Silva's urine tested positive for steroids and was pulled. Now the end result is what I see being a boring fight, atleast compared to what we were going to get. I say Rampage takes a decision and the only reason I dont say knock out is Hammil has a decent chin. RAMPAGE BY DECISION
Frankie Edgar vs Gray Maynard for the UFC Lightweight Championship
Frankie Edgar is the current UFC lightweight champion of the world and he never ceases to amaze me. He improves so much every single time he fights it's unreal. He came into the UFC with a record of 5-0 and a win over UFC contender Jim Miller. Since his UFC debut he has put together a record of 9-1-1, defeating such legends as BJ Penn and Sean Sherk with the only blemishes coming from a draw and a loss to #1 contender Gray Maynard.
Gray Maynard has certainly had a long road to the title, he has won 8 straight fights in the UFC with the only bad marks being a no conest where he slammed Rob Emerson into tapping due to broken ribs but also knocked himself out, and the draw to Frankie.
In their first fight Gray dominated a younger more "green" Edgar, in their second meeting it was a much closer contest. If gray hadnt spent an entire round head hunting he would have won that fight, but because he did Frankie gets another shot at beating him. Frankie doesnt have the same finishing power as Gray but he has the flashy stand up that judges love.The first was a loss, the second was a draw so I say unless Gray finishes him it is going to be EDGAR BY DECISION