Turd Ferguson
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Main card
- Middleweight Championship bout: Anderson Silva (c) vs Chael Sonnen
- Welterweight bout: Jon Fitch vs. Thiago Alves
- Lightweight bout: Clay Guida vs. Rafael Dos Anjos
- Welterweight bout: Matt Hughes vs. Ricardo Almeida
- Heavyweight bout: Junior Dos Santos vs. Roy Nelson
Preliminary Card (Non-televised)
- Light Heavyweight bout: Todd Brown vs. Tim Boetsch
- Heavyweight bout: Stefan Struve vs. Christian Morecraft
- Welterweight bout: Dustin Hazelett vs. Rick Story
- Welterweight bout: Ben Saunders vs. Dennis Hallman
- Welterweight bout: Johny Hendricks vs. Charlie Brenneman
- Light Heavyweight bout: Rodney "Sho 'Nuff The Master" Wallace vs. Phil Davis
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This has potential to be an exciting card, or one where wrestling takes over, leaving a lot of people upset.
The main event, Anderson Silva vs. Chael Sonnen, is a fight I have been looking forward to for quite some time. I have become a huge Chael Sonnen fan over the past year, as he's put on some great fights, and had his coming out party against Yushin Okami, whose only loss in the UFC before Sonnen was to Rich Franklin. Sonnen was a complete underdog against Nate Marquardt, and he put on a tremendous performance in that fight as well, once again as a complete underdog. Everyone had written Sonnen off in those two fights, and he's proved the doubters wrong each and every time. Chael has been attacking Anderson Silva since before the Marquardt fight, and it has been a nonstop verbal attack on him. He's done interviews where he lays into him, speeches against him at Q&A sessions, and even attacks him on his Twitter account.
A lot of people are writing Sonnen off, thinking Silva is going to destroy him. I wouldn't be so sure. When Dan Henderson fought Anderson Silva, he won the first round, and that was thanks to holding him down and controlling him with wrestling. Then, for the second round, he abandoned that strategy, tried to stand with Silva, and he got beaten. Sonnen is smart enough to know that if he stands with Silva, he's going to get beaten. He also knows that his strengths most certainly do not lie in the standup game. He doesn't have knockout power like Hendo in the first place.
Like Henderson, Sonnen is an Olympic wrestler. It's much easier said than done, but all Sonnen needs to do to win is wrestle Silva for 5 rounds. He needs to pin him up against the cage, pin him to the ground, and do everything he can to make sure the fight stays on the ground. If Sonnen can do this, and again, it's much easier said than done, he'll be walking out of Oakland the new Middleweight Champion. You better believe I'm going to be pulling for Sonnen.
I'm really interested in the Jon Fitch vs. Thiago Alves fight (and I might be the only person on this planet who enjoys watching Jon Fitch fight). Both guys have been destroyed by GSP, and both guys want another shot. In their first fight, Fitch won by upkick. Both fighters have evolved so much since that point, but Jon Fitch is just a tremendous wrestler, and we all know his gameplan by now. The question is whether or not Thiago Alves can keep distance from Fitch and keep it standing, blocking his takedowns. You also have to wonder how Alves is going to be following his brain surgery that was caught before he was supposed to rematch Fitch in March. I think the result of this fight will be how I thought it would have been back in March, which is Fitch Fitch'ing Alves on his way to victory.
With Clay Guida vs. Rafael Dos Anjos, you know what you're getting, which is going to be two exciting lightweights going back and forth with each other. It should be a fight of the night candidate... and either guy has a chance to walk out with the win.
Matt Hughes vs. Ricardo Almeida... I really hope Almeida takes it to Matt Hughes, who is the biggest overall dick in all of MMA. Almeida's quest to become a contender in this stacked division starts here, and I think he'll take it to Hughes, who is on the downside of his career. I'm hoping for any kind of submission here by Almeida. Of course, there's also the possibility that Hughes wrestles Almeida and decisions his way to victory.
Junior Dos Santos vs. Roy Nelson is going to be a terrific fight and is going to be an absolute barnburner. The winner of this fight gets the winner of the Brock Lesnar vs. Cain Velasquez fight. This could be a standup war, but the one knock on Dos Santos is that we don't know how he is off of his back. If Roy Nelson can pin down JDS and crucifix him, he could be in major, major trouble. If this is a standup fight, the winner is anyone's guess. I can't wait for this one.
As far as the prelims go...
Poor Thiago Silva. He goes from main eventing UFC 108 (and co-main eventing the two cards he was on prior to that point) to being on the prelims for this card. I really think that the Rashad Evans fight should have been a 28-28 draw as well. There's no reason for him to be on the prelims, and he should absolutely destroy the returning Tim Boetsch (who I'll always like for that time he just physically picked up David Heath and threw him into the cage).
I always like seeing Stefan Struve fight as well, and I'm disappointed he's on the undercard. Same thing with Ben Saunders. Either way, this could either be a fun card, or a card everyone hates due to wrestling.