I think a lot of people are wrong in saying that RVD gains nothing from ending Crimson's winning streak. He gains credibility and an easy route to being the guy he was last year when he was World Champion. Remember, he never lost that title, he was stripped due to "injuries" suffered by Abyss using Janice on him. RVD has been kind of floating around with no real purpose since his return, as are many guys with the Immortal angle dominating TNA's programming. A victory here vaults him right back to the top of the cards and makes him the clear cut favorite to win the Bound for Glory series.
That being said, I too don't see Crimson taking the loss here. For better or worse, TNA is intent on pushing him to the moon. A victory of RVD would be his biggest to date and show that TNA creative is truly all in on him by defeating a former title holder. I can't say I'm in favor of that decision. Crimson is certainly improving in the ring. However, he has no true gimmick to speak of, below average mic skills, and a lack of a true connection with the crowd. I don't know where he goes after he suffers his first loss, which I think is the main reason he gets the victory here. I don't think that is the best reason to put a guy over an established star, but TNA has kind of backed themselves into a corner.
Imagine if Crimson wins the Bound for Glory series, which I think he will. If you don't have him take the title (which would be off of either Angle or Sting, presumably), he loses all of his mystique and becomes just another guy who got a big push that didn't work out and he goes straight to the midcard. This is dangerous territory for a company which has spent great time and effort in making this guy the next superstar in wrestling. Crimson's time is short to prove he is ready to be the guy to carry TNA in the future. It's my opinion that he doesn't have the tools and would be severely miscast in that position. This match with RVD is a huge, pivotal moment in his young career.